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Crisis / crashEvent date · 2022-11-03

What if you bought Meta when it bottomed in the 2022 metaverse shock?

This uses real data to show what would have happened if you had invested a lump sum in Meta (META) on November 3, 2022 — its 2022 bottom after a 75%-plus crash on metaverse-spending fears. As a single stock, mind survivorship bias, and remember a bottom is only knowable in hindsight.

⚠️ Know the risk first

As a single stock, mind survivorship bias. Meta rebounded, but far more names never recovered from their lows. And a bottom is knowable only in hindsight, so buying that exact day was very hard.

⚠️ This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).

What happened that day

On November 3, 2022, ad-revenue damage and fears over massive metaverse spending drove Meta's stock to its low for the year. It had crashed more than 75% from its 2021 peak but then rebounded dramatically on cost cuts and an AI focus.

Why this date

The buy date is November 3, 2022, Meta's lowest close of the year, computing directly 'what if you bought at the most pessimistic and cheapest moment.'

Investment conditions

Asset · Meta (META) · lump-sum at the 2022 low, then held

Method · Lump-sum (all at once)

Period · 2022-11-03 ~ 2026-07-01

Amount · $7,407

As of · 2026-07-01

Key metrics

These results do not reflect taxes. Based on historical data.

Total invested
$7,407
Final value
$51,512
Profit
$44,105
Cumulative return
+595.4%
Annualized return (XIRR)
69.9%
Annualized return
69.9%
Buy price
$88.14
Final price
$612.91

Buy and final prices are shown in the asset's local currency (US & crypto $, Japan ¥, Korea ₩). Total invested and final value are in Korean won (₩).

Risk & recovery

As important as returns. This service does not hide maximum drawdown or loss periods.

Maximum drawdown (MDD)

-34.2%

Largest drop from peak

Longest loss period

0months

Months in loss: 0

Recovery period

0months

Growth over time

Invested principal (dashed) and portfolio value (solid). Values below match the calculation.

차트 로딩 중...

Total invested $7,407Final value $51,512 (+595.4%), Maximum drawdown (MDD) -34.2%

Why this period and asset

November 3, 2022 was the day Meta's stock hit its low for the year. Apple's privacy changes hurt ad revenue, and when Mark Zuckerberg signaled he would pour enormous sums into the 'metaverse,' the market recoiled and Meta crashed more than 75% from its 2021 peak. Pessimism that 'Meta had lost its way' ran high. But after declaring a 'year of efficiency,' cutting costs and focusing on AI, the stock rebounded dramatically.

Interpreting the result

This is a single-stock case where the most pessimistic moment became a good buying point — but that is visible only after the fact. The final return below can be high, yet at the time no one was sure Meta would rebound, and most sold in fear. Also, Meta's recovery is just one outcome of a single stock surviving; many names collapsed amid the same pessimism. Generalizing a single stock's dramatic rebound leads to survivorship bias.

Caveats & limits

As a single stock, be mindful of survivorship bias. Meta is chosen with hindsight as a 'stock that rebounded'; far more names never recovered from their lows. And buying the bottom is knowable only after the fact, so it was very hard to actually buy that day. Figures use adjusted close and exclude exchange rates, fees, and taxes; always review the maximum drawdown and loss periods.

Event fact sources

  • Reuters, Meta 2022 stock decline / metaverse spending coverage
  • Nasdaq — META daily price (2022-11-03)

Requested date vs actual trading date

If the event date is a holiday, the fill uses the next trading day's close. The 'effective trading date' below is the date actually used.

Data sources & limits

  • Price data source: Yahoo Finance / FinanceDataReader
  • Collected on: 2026-07-28
  • Effective trading date: 2026-07-01
  • Price basis: Adjusted close (reflects dividends and stock splits)
  • This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).
  • Trading fees and taxes are not reflected — figures are pre-tax.
  • Based on historical data; does not guarantee future returns.

Frequently asked questions

Did Meta really fall 75%?

Yes. On ad-revenue damage and metaverse-spending fears, Meta crashed more than 75% from its 2021 peak, bottoming on November 3, 2022. Check the maximum drawdown below for that depth. It then rebounded dramatically on cost cuts and an AI focus.

So should I buy crashed single stocks?

It's risky. Meta is a rebound success, but far more names never recovered from their lows. A single stock bets everything on one company's fate, so looking only at survivors creates the illusion (survivorship bias) that it's safer than it is.

Why use November 3, 2022 as the buy date?

It is Meta's 2022 low (lowest close of the year). That lets us compute 'buying at the most pessimistic and cheapest moment' precisely from that day — though only in hindsight was it known to be the bottom.

Are FX and taxes reflected?

No. Exchange rates, trading fees, and taxes are not reflected — figures are pre-tax. This only shows historical data and recommends no stock.

Related scenarios

📋 Results are based on historical data; past returns do not guarantee future returns.

📋 This service is provided for educational purposes to help you understand investing, not as investment advice.

⚠️ Calculated using today's representative assets, which may differ from the market composition at the time.