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Worst-case startRecurring

Started Investing Right Before the Financial Crisis → Today

What if you had started investing about $220 per month at the S&P 500 peak in October 2007?

#S&P 500#financial crisis#worst start

What does this scenario show?

Investment period · Oct 2007 – Jul 2026 (about 19 years)

Investment method · Recurring investment of about $220 per month

Target asset · S&P 500 ETF

+356% after 19 years, 54 months to recover

Key results

Values verified by the operator against past data.

Total invested

Sum of principal contributed during the investment period

$51k
Ending value

Valuation at the end date

$231k
Cumulative return
+356%
Annualized return (XIRR)

Personal return that reflects your investment timing

9.2% / yr

Risk & recovery metrics

These are the declines you actually had to endure during long-term investing. We do not hide this part.

Maximum drawdown (MDD)

-51.3%

Largest decline from the peak

Longest loss duration

36 months

Longest continuous stretch below principal

Recovery period

54 months

Time to regain the previous peak

What if you had stopped partway?

Even if you had started investing just before the financial crisis, one of the worst historical entry points, continuing to invest for about 19 years produced a high return. However, you had to endure a -51.3% loss early on and a 54-month recovery period.

If you stop investing during a decline, you lose both the chance to lower your average purchase price and the gains from the subsequent rebound. That said, there is no guarantee this result repeats for every asset and every period.

Data sources and limitations

  • Based on adjusted close (dividends and splits reflected); FX effect not reflected
  • Based on adjusted close (dividends and splits reflected); unless otherwise noted, the exchange rate (FX effect) is not reflected.
  • Trading fees and taxes are not reflected. Your actual after-tax return is lower than this.
  • This is a result based on past data and does not guarantee future returns.

📋 Results are based on historical data; past returns do not guarantee future returns.

📋 This service is provided for educational purposes to help you understand investing, not as investment advice.