What if you bought Nvidia on the day ChatGPT launched?
On November 30, 2022, just before the AI boom began, what if you had put a lump sum into Nvidia (NVDA)? This shows the actual historical result.
⚠️ Know the risk first
Warning: Nvidia was then in the middle of the 2022 tech selloff. The holding period is short and it is a single stock with high volatility, so be sure to check the maximum drawdown below.
⚠️ This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).
What happened that day
On November 30, 2022, OpenAI released ChatGPT to the public. The service became a global sensation almost overnight and triggered the so-called 'AI boom,' with Nvidia — maker of AI-compute GPUs — at the center of the windfall.
Why this date
We anchor on ChatGPT's launch to place the assumed buy date 'just before' the AI boom began — a case where the event and the asset (Nvidia) are clearly linked.
Investment conditions
Asset · Nvidia (NVDA) · lump-sum, then held
Method · Lump-sum (all at once)
Period · 2022-11-30 ~ 2026-07-01
Amount · $7,407
As of · 2026-07-01
Key metrics
These results do not reflect taxes. Based on historical data.
Risk & recovery
As important as returns. This service does not hide maximum drawdown or loss periods.
Maximum drawdown (MDD)
-36.9%
Largest drop from peak
Longest loss period
1months
Months in loss: 1
Recovery period
3months
Growth over time
Invested principal (dashed) and portfolio value (solid). Values below match the calculation.
Total invested $7,407 → Final value $86,675 (+1070.1%), Maximum drawdown (MDD) -36.9%
Why this period and asset
November 30, 2022 is the day OpenAI released ChatGPT to the public. The service became a global sensation almost overnight and pulled the trigger on the so-called 'AI boom,' with Nvidia — maker of the GPUs used for AI compute — at the center of the windfall. But remember that Nvidia was then in the middle of the 2022 tech selloff, and that this scenario's holding period is short.
Interpreting the result
After ChatGPT's release, AI expectations exploded and Nvidia's stock rose sharply. But this is the story of a single stock viewed in hindsight. Many other names in the same AI boom did not rise much, and single stocks carry far more volatility and failure risk than an index. Note the limited sample from the short holding period and be sure to check this window's maximum drawdown.
Caveats & limits
Be mindful of single-stock survivorship bias. This picks, with hindsight, 'the biggest AI-boom winner.' Figures use adjusted close, exclude FX, fees, and taxes, and — being a recent, short window — guarantee nothing about the future.
Event fact sources
- OpenAI: ChatGPT release 2022-11-30 (official announcement)
- Reuters/Bloomberg: 2023–2024 coverage of the AI boom and Nvidia's surge
Requested date vs actual trading date
2022-11-30 is a trading day. If an event date is a holiday, we fill at the next trading day's close; the requested and actual fill dates may differ.
Data sources & limits
- Price data source: Yahoo Finance / FinanceDataReader
- Collected on: 2026-07-25
- Effective trading date: 2026-07-01
- Price basis: 調整後終値(配当・株式分割を反映)
- This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).
- Trading fees and taxes are not reflected — figures are pre-tax.
- Based on historical data; does not guarantee future returns.
Frequently asked questions
Why use ChatGPT's launch as the buy date?
To anchor on the moment just before the AI boom began. November 30, 2022 is the day OpenAI released ChatGPT to the public.
Why the single-stock warning?
Nvidia is one stock, not an index. Viewed in hindsight it looks safe, but many names in the same period did not rise. That is survivorship bias.
Is a short holding period okay?
This scenario spans only about three years. The sample is limited and recent volatility is high, so interpret the result with more caution than a long window.
Did Nvidia only go up?
No. There were pullbacks even in this period. Check the maximum drawdown metric below. Single stocks swing more than an index.
Does this page recommend buying Nvidia?
No. It only shows one stock's path using historical data and recommends no stock.
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📋 結果は過去のデータに基づくものです。過去のリターンは将来のリターンを保証しません。
📋 本サービスは投資アドバイスではなく、投資を理解するための教育目的で提供されています。
⚠️ 現在の代表的な資産を用いて計算しているため、当時の市場構成とは異なる場合があります。