What if you invested monthly in Netflix for 5 years?
Revisit, using real historical prices, what a monthly dollar-cost-averaging plan into a single stock, Netflix, might have looked like over 5 years. As a single stock it could beat an index, but its drawdowns can also run far deeper. Look beyond the final value to the maximum drawdown, the time spent underwater, and how long recovery took along the way.
⚠️ This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).
Investment conditions
Asset · Netflix single stock
Method · Recurring monthly investment
Period · 2021-07-01 ~ 2026-07-01
Amount · $222 / month
As of · 2026-07-01
Key metrics
These results do not reflect taxes. Based on historical data.
Risk & recovery
As important as returns. This service does not hide maximum drawdown or loss periods.
Maximum drawdown (MDD)
-51.8%
Largest drop from peak
Longest loss period
12months
Months in loss: 15
Recovery period
0months
Growth over time
Invested principal (dashed) and portfolio value (solid). Values below match the calculation.
Total invested $13,556 → Final value $20,527 (+51.4%), Maximum drawdown (MDD) -51.8%
Why this period and asset
Netflix is the emblematic stock of the shift from DVD rentals to streaming, changing how people consume content. Its growth was steep but its price swings were extreme. In Q1 2022, when it reported its first-ever decline in paid subscribers, the stock plunged more than 30% in a single day and suffered a very large drawdown from that year's peak. It later recovered through a password-sharing crackdown and an ad-supported tier, but it illustrates how much a single stock can move in one day. This scenario covers the 5-year window from July 2021 to July 2026.
Interpreting the result
Dollar-cost averaging buys a fixed amount each month, so you buy more shares when the price is low and fewer when it is high, smoothing your average cost. But a single stock, unlike an index, ties your entire outcome to one company's fortunes. On the results screen, don't stop at the final amount; check the maximum drawdown (the largest drop from a peak), the loss period (time spent below your cost), and how long recovery took. For a volatile stock like Netflix, even the same final return can mean a much deeper and longer drawdown to endure than a broad index. These figures exist not to showcase a good outcome, but to show the process honestly.
Caveats & limits
This calculation is an example based on past prices and does not guarantee future returns; a good past is no proof of a good future. It excludes taxes (capital gains and dividends), trading fees, and USD-based currency effects, so real results will differ. In particular, Netflix survived and grew, so beware of survivorship bias: individual stocks that disappeared or lagged for years in the same period are not captured here. Concentrating in one stock also carries concentration risk: if that company runs into trouble, there is no diversification to cushion the loss. This page is educational information, not investment advice.
Data sources & limits
- Price data source: Yahoo Finance / FinanceDataReader
- Collected on: 2026-07-23
- Effective trading date: 2026-07-01
- Price basis: 調整後終値(配当・株式分割を反映)
- This asset is an individual stock chosen as of today, so past returns can look better than they really were (survivorship bias).
- Trading fees and taxes are not reflected — figures are pre-tax.
- Based on historical data; does not guarantee future returns.
Frequently asked questions
How much do I actually contribute over 5 years?
You contribute a fixed monthly amount for 5 years (about 60 contributions). Total principal depends on the number of contributions, and the results screen shows both principal and ending value in USD in this locale. The focus, though, is as much on 'how far it fell and recovered' as on 'what it became.'
How is holding only Netflix different from investing in an index?
An index (e.g., the S&P 500) spreads across hundreds of companies, while Netflix puts everything on one. When it does well the return can far exceed an index, but if the company stumbles there is nothing to spread the loss across, so the maximum drawdown and loss period are often larger than an index.
Does this result include taxes, fees, and currency effects?
No. It reflects only past price movement and excludes taxes, trading fees, and currency effects. Netflix pays no dividend and has moved more than 30% in a single day on an earnings report. In real investing, these factors change the outcome.
Related scenarios
📋 結果は過去のデータに基づくものです。過去のリターンは将来のリターンを保証しません。
📋 本サービスは投資アドバイスではなく、投資を理解するための教育目的で提供されています。
⚠️ 現在の代表的な資産を用いて計算しているため、当時の市場構成とは異なる場合があります。