一部の詳細コンテンツは韓国語のみでご利用いただけます。

Asset classes5 分で読めます

A Look at Southeast Asian Markets Like Vietnam and Indonesia

Southeast Asia is often mentioned as 'post-China.' What do the Vietnamese and Indonesian markets, drawing attention with young populations and fast growth, look like, and what should you watch out for?

Why are Southeast Asian markets drawing attention

Southeast Asian countries like Vietnam and Indonesia have been drawing investor attention recently. There are a few reasons.

First, the population structure is young. There's a large working-age population, and it's seen as having ample room for consumption to grow.

Second, there's a trend of global companies moving production bases from China to Southeast Asia (supply-chain diversification), so it's called 'post-China.'

Third, economic growth is fast. That said, let me nail down first that such growth 'expectations' don't immediately guarantee stock 'returns.' Expectations and actual performance can differ.

The current position of Vietnam and Indonesia

The two countries' markets are at somewhat different development stages.

Vietnam has been classified as a 'frontier market.' But the index provider FTSE Russell announced in October 2025 that it would promote Vietnam from frontier to 'Secondary Emerging,' with the actual reflection scheduled for September 2026 (including a final review process before that). Improved foreign-investment accessibility was cited as the background for the promotion.

Indonesia is a large ASEAN market already classified as emerging. Indexes like the Jakarta Composite Index (IDX) are its flagships, and resources (coal, nickel, etc.) and domestic consumption account for a large share.

Both countries have growth stories, but you must view them on the premise that their market maturity and stability are still at a lower stage than developed markets.

Vietnam's promotion is per FTSE's standard and before the actual reflection. Other bodies' (MSCI, etc.) classifications or timelines may differ. Indonesia-related details change over time, so it's good to check with the latest data.

Risks as large as the growth expectations

If you're interested in Southeast Asian markets, you must look at the risks together.

(1) Liquidity risk — especially in markets closer to the frontier stage, trading volume is low, so you may not be able to sell at the price you want when you want to.

(2) Exchange-rate risk — currencies like the Vietnamese dong and Indonesian rupiah swing sharply. Even if the local stock price rises, if the currency weakens, your won-converted gain is shaved.

(3) Capital-outflow and policy risk — in a global crisis, foreign money flows out first, and the range of policy and institutional change is large.

So Southeast Asian investing is a set of 'growth expectations' and 'large volatility, low liquidity.' Usually it's common to approach it through diversified funds/ETFs, in small amounts you can bear, rather than direct investment in individual stocks. This article isn't recommending investing in a particular country; it aims to tell you the appeal and the risk in a balanced way.

よくある質問

Q. Since it's 'post-China,' isn't it fine to just invest in Southeast Asia now?

Big growth expectations don't guarantee stock returns. Expectations may already be priced in, or gains may be shaved by exchange-rate and liquidity risk. This article doesn't predict future performance or recommend buying. Its purpose is to understand the growth story and the risk together.

Q. Is it okay to invest directly in individual Southeast Asian stocks?

It's possible, but with low liquidity and hard-to-access information, direct individual-stock investing by an individual carries large risk. A situation can arise where you can't sell when you want to. So it's more common to take a small-amount approach through diversified funds/ETFs. That said, no method makes the risk disappear.

📋 結果は過去のデータに基づくものです。過去のリターンは将来のリターンを保証しません。

📋 本サービスは投資アドバイスではなく、投資を理解するための教育目的で提供されています。