The Pain Index
The maximum drawdown shows only one moment, the worst bottom. But an investor's pain comes from 'how often and how deeply I was underwater in normal times.' The measure for that is the Pain Index.
The idea of an 'average drawdown'
The Pain Index is a measure that computes the drawdown (the decline rate from the peak) at every point across the whole investment period and then averages those values.
The maximum drawdown (MDD) looks only at 'the single deepest time.' The Pain Index, by contrast, looks at 'on average, how deep underwater you were over the entire period.'
For example, even if two assets have the same MDD of -30%, if one briefly touched -30% and quickly recovered while the other stayed at -20 to -30% for years, the latter's Pain Index is far larger. It better reflects the cumulative pain an actual investor feels.
A cousin of the Ulcer Index
The Pain Index is a very close relative of the Ulcer Index you've already learned about.
- Pain Index: the 'average' of the drawdown at each point - Ulcer Index: the drawdown at each point is 'squared,' then averaged and square-rooted (root mean square, RMS)
Both summarize 'how deep and how long the drawdown normally lasted' as a single number. The difference is that because the Ulcer Index uses squaring, it gives a heavier penalty to 'deep drawdowns.' The Pain Index, being a simple average, is a bit more intuitive.
The Pain Index and the Ulcer Index are measures of 'accumulated downside pain,' so unlike standard deviation, they don't penalize upward swings. They're useful when you want to see only downside risk.
Extending to the Pain Ratio
Using the Pain Index as a risk measure, you can create a 'return relative to risk' measure. This is called the Pain Ratio.
The Pain Ratio is roughly of the form '(return - risk-free return) ÷ Pain Index.' Where the Sharpe ratio uses standard deviation in the denominator, the Pain Index is put in.
For the same return, the smaller the Pain Index (= the less it hurt in normal times), the higher the Pain Ratio. It's the idea of evaluating not only 'return matters, but how long you hurt while earning that return.' Measures like these help prevent the mistake of forgetting drawdowns and loss duration while looking only at returns.
よくある質問
Q. Which should I look at, the Pain Index or the maximum drawdown?
The two answer different questions, so it's best to look at them together. The maximum drawdown tells you 'the single worst event you should brace for,' while the Pain Index tells you 'how steadily it will hurt in normal times.' Gauge whether you can endure the worst moment with MDD, and whether you can endure the tedious underwater stretch with the Pain Index.
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